Bitcoin Bullish Outlook: Over 60% Growth Expected as ETF Cycle Resets

Bitcoin Bullish Outlook: Over 60% Growth Expected as ETF Cycle Resets

A new prediction suggests that Bitcoin’s price could increase by over 60% in the next 180 days. The reason is the re-reset of the ETF cost basis cycle, which has fundamentally affected the behavior of the digital currency since the beginning of 2025.

Currently trading just below the $90,000 mark, representing a daily movement of around 3% and a net gain of around 1-2%. Analysts believe that this cycle could bring significant appreciation as the mechanism that has led to increases of over 60% in the past is reactivated.

“Since the beginning of 2025, the pattern has repeatedly appeared: the price breaks to new highs, followed by a correction, and then stable support at the ETF cost basis level, which triggers further growth,” Copper reports. This dynamic has already been repeated three times, according to their analysis, and each time has brought significant returns.

However, doubts are also emerging in the market. Some experts point to the lack of clear catalysts, for example, due to the already factored in interest rate cuts by the Fed or reduced inflows into ETFs on Wall Street. Products from BlackRock and Fidelity still have a significant influence on the market, but the decline in interest may push prices down.

Institutional investors continue to hold Bitcoin via ETFs, with the recommendation to allocate within 2-5%. If this allocation increases, further price growth may occur, as the share of Bitcoin in the portfolio increases to more than 6% in a few months.

According to Copper’s head of research, Fadi Aboualf, the current trend is favorable for further growth. If the cost base of the ETF does indeed increase, very attractive growth and breaking of previous highs could be expected.

However, some analysts warn of possible risks. If Bitcoin breaks certain support levels, it could trigger negative sentiment and accelerate the decline. The outlook for 2026 is positive so far, with an estimated return of around 30-35%, which is strong but less parabolic than in previous cycles.

Overall, while the outlook for Bitcoin is promising, the market still faces uncertainties. However, if the ETF cycle does indeed get going again, the price of the digital currency could reach new, significantly higher levels. Whether you are investing or watching the market, one thing is clear – the situation is exciting and full of opportunities.

*This is not an investment recommendation.

The Coingarage Team